The Japanese people have made a pretty clear choice. 70% oppose nuclear power. So, where do you go from there? Well, one amazingly promising option is to build out wind power. (Why have the Japanese waited so long to deploy renewables? It’s a big question. Maybe the answer is the power of the nuclear energy lobby and the utilities. That’s certainly what has been holding France back.)
But the story here is wind: The NY Times reported here the other day that Tokyo University researchers reckon that “…wind in deeper waters off Japan could generate as much as 1,570 gigawatts of electricity, roughly eight times the current capacity of all of Japan’s power companies combined…” I wrote in August of a study that said that offshore wind could provide four times Europe’s needs.
One striking similarity in both of these projections is that floating turbines are the key to these enormous numbers for power capacity. The Global Wind Energy Council predicts that we’ll have about 536 gigawatts of installed capacity in wind by 2017. That will be just about 10% of total global installed capacity in all forms of electricity production. The potential for floating turbines, operating in deep waters where the wind is stronger and more consistent than inshore or onshore, is, as we’re seeing from these analyses, enormous. Even the usually conservative International Energy Agency sees wind generating as much as 18% of global electric power by 2050. I think it will be much more.
In Japan, a consortium of industrial concerns with a worldwide presence, such as Marubeni, Mitsubishi, Hitachi, and others, see this project as a critical way to claim their share of the burgeoning market in renewables. Godspeed.